Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93384e64acd1ab725b024a7e45b847c42f27938c42d44b4e0f8e615ef11d12d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,671$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.98 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 40c | 768.65$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.46 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 648.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 33c | 636.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 33c | 402.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 33c | 402.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 36c | 350.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 34c | 277.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 251.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 244.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 67c | 150.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 69c | 144.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 80c | 116$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 95.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Yes | 69c | 71.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 67c | 71.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 62c | 55.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 42c | 49.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…e113backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 76c | 39.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 60c | 37.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dbe9backed No | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed No | 40c | 30.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 62c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…bf38backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 67c | 16.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 70c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Hammarby IF vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Malmo FF win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.