Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc94f010565f064ee9f79bdab641c22837166b8e3b143584cea23fd6acb833dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BRUTEof Bohemian Guardians, BRUTE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BRUTE | 62c | 2,150$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.63 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Bohemian Guardians | 38c | 2,035$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed BRUTE | 66c | 875.92$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked BRUTE | 66c | 432$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…4520backed Bohemian Guardians | 35c | 341.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked BRUTE | 66c | 233.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed BRUTE | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked BRUTE | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed BRUTE | 64c | 132$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed BRUTE | 65c | 130.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed BRUTE | 66c | 57.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked BRUTE | 65c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BG (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonBRUTE won
- LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE - Game 1 WinnerBRUTE won
- LoL: Bohemian Guardians vs BRUTE - Game 2 WinnerBohemian Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.