Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9545e551930fcea6be7ffe449b192ecf31494cf9a655278c75d40b6dd2ab58f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CTBC Flying Oysterof Team Secret Whales, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85fb…89babacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 57c | 4,020$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.58 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Secret Whales | 43c | 3,371$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.52 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Team Secret Whales | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Secret Whales | 52c | 307.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 59c | 269.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 242$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed Team Secret Whales | 41c | 241.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Team Secret Whales | 43c | 231.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 57c | 228.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…f41ebacked Team Secret Whales | 43c | 217.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Team Secret Whales | 42c | 194.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Team Secret Whales | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 53c | 85.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Secret Whales | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 67.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 59c | 56.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…dbe3backed Team Secret Whales | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 58c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Team Secret Whales | 43c | 43.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Team Secret Whales | 43c | 25.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)CTBC Flying Oyster won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group StageCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.