College Football · resolved market
O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9565461537ee10ce8973bdeefcdc77c49e7e9fcb510afee1b5c682472831025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 5,679$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.46 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,471$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.55 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 3,931$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Under | 49c | 680$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 50c | 640.2$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.13 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.85 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 384.78$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 332.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 112$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Over | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 45.5this page
- Colorado State vs. Boise StateBoise State won
- Colorado State vs. Boise State: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Boise State (-16.5)Boise State won
- Spread: Boise State (-17.5)Boise State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.