Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 8 (China), hard: Tianhui Zhang vs Lingxi Zhao
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c626d8dae7ef03a62e15ab86c60066b066173496d574e8039accb76424ac76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tianhui Zhangof Tianhui Zhang, Lingxi Zhao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lingxi Zhao | 25c | 1,925$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tianhui Zhang | 63c | 423.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lingxi Zhao | 29c | 304.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Lingxi Zhao | 29c | 302.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Tianhui Zhang | 78c | 246.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Tianhui Zhang | 68c | 154.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tianhui Zhang | 72c | 121$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Tianhui Zhang | 51c | 114.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…bc8ebacked Tianhui Zhang | 72c | 105.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Tianhui Zhang | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Lingxi Zhao | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tianhui Zhang | 77c | 97.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tianhui Zhang | 63c | 80.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…458dbacked Tianhui Zhang | 57c | 79.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Tianhui Zhang | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 978 | 58.5%572 W · 406 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Lingxi Zhao | 34c | 64.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 387 | 31.3%121 W · 266 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lingxi Zhao | 23c | 55.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Lingxi Zhao | 27c | 47.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Lingxi Zhao | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…e290backed Lingxi Zhao | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tianhui Zhang | 48c | 21.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…0dd4backed Tianhui Zhang | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tianhui Zhang | 62c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 751 | 46.1%346 W · 405 L | -30.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Tianhui Zhang | 73c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 654 | 47.7%312 W · 342 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 8 (China), hard: Tianhui Zhang vs Lingxi Zhaothis page
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 8 (China), hard: Completed Match: Tianhui Zhang vs Lingxi ZhaoYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.