CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c8d514125f7a0c42d245df976d746fb3d528eb7c82e34980d90e29c94ffb3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Fisher College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Fisher College | 17c | 8,085$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.51 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Fisher College | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Fisher College | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fisher College | 16c | 2,127$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Fisher College | 17c | 2,025$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fisher College | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Fisher College | 17c | 1,549$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Fisher College | 17c | 1,214$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fisher College | 16c | 781.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Fisher College | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fisher College | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Fisher College | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Fisher College | 17c | 353.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Fisher College | 16c | 248.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fisher College | 16c | 168.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fisher College | 8c | 161.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Fisher College | 15c | 109.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Fisher College | 19c | 107.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…34d0backed Fisher College | 14c | 105.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Fisher College | 17c | 101.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Fisher College | 14c | 99.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…4dc5backed Fisher College | 16c | 91.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Fisher College | 17c | 79.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Fisher College | 17c | 72.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1faebacked Fisher College | 16c | 68.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Fisher College | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.