Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9eeef5fc6d0856d35037173898295455f25390d80b83b48836fbf7663e90b7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof North Carolina Tar Heels, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 2,973$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.78 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 2,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 1,095$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 523.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.08 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 270.35$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 115.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 72.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.