Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc91d984837aa8f222593071796999e8f74962c52dcd9c21ac9863794fc920aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Pittsburgh Panthers, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 14c | 2,680$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 13c | 1,910$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 14c | 1,350$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.33 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 17c | 995.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 13c | 819$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 15c | 720$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 13c | 650.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 14c | 449.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 12c | 341.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 15c | 225$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 12c | 198.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 77c | 195$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 80c | 170$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 16c | 90.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.