Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs HGE Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0426f254ab55c9ea2c48917e71a672bb90509156b7cf44e7de762084c2011c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HGE Esportsof NOVO Esports, HGE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked NOVO Esports | 59c | 2,144$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed HGE Esports | 41c | 2,040$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed NOVO Esports | 50c | 533.5$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed HGE Esports | 49c | 533.17$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed NOVO Esports | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed HGE Esports | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed HGE Esports | 57c | 167.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NOVO Esports | 48c | 91.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NOVO Esports | 39c | 54.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed HGE Esports | 49c | 48.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed HGE Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NOVO Esports | 50c | 45.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NOVO Esports | 50c | 31.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs HGE Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsHGE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.