La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0e6dff8cecd9525c227eaab817f2af0b53b84ca0dabecfc699c5a9b1a40889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 18c | 35,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 17c | 32,853$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.59 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 0c | 12,721$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 9c | 4,871$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.47 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 3c | 1,616$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 18c | 1,419$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 1,215$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 9c | 548.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 8c | 150.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 17c | 137.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 16c | 130.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 16c | 119.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…22aabacked No | 17c | 115.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 16c | 109.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 17c | 87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-18?this page
- Will CD Atlético Baleares vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Atlético Baleares win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.