Tennis · resolved market
Alicante: Ilya Ivashka vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3e2c960293bf7563c15e4d6de7638c70b9cf3c5c9299996f2577da28c1039b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Ilya Ivashka, Pablo Llamas Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,264 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Ilya Ivashka | 9c | 5,489$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.63 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ilya Ivashka | 9c | 2,009$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilya Ivashka | 6c | 1,926$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Ilya Ivashka | 1c | 1,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ilya Ivashka | 8c | 1,108$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ilya Ivashka | 10c | 1,023$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Ilya Ivashka | 6c | 1,016$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ilya Ivashka | 4c | 623.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ilya Ivashka | 10c | 319.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Ilya Ivashka | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Ilya Ivashka | 5c | 277.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Ilya Ivashka | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Ilya Ivashka | 9c | 243.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Ilya Ivashka | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ilya Ivashka | 8c | 211.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Ilya Ivashka | 7c | 189$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Ilya Ivashka | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…d5f8backed Ilya Ivashka | 17c | 157.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Ilya Ivashka | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…3242backed Ilya Ivashka | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.