TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Lightning

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lightningof Blue Jackets, Lightning
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Blue Jackets13c30,480$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,955.3432331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning77c13,918$10,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.566163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning60c6,112$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Blue Jackets40c5,715$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.1821652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdc4…6651backed Blue Jackets40c5,003$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jackets38c4,237$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.1331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets16c1,876$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.571,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Lightning59c1,847$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning60c1,759$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.4492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jackets28c1,651$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.251,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets14c1,620$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.553,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Lightning62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.915261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning60c1,268$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.151,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf8…b9d4backed Blue Jackets24c728$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7260%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning61c599.99$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Lightning59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2055147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3130…f2cbbacked Blue Jackets27c434$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning72c381.31$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning61c363.72$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x679c…e26fbacked Lightning61c354.85$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Blue Jackets5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97bc…6dfbbacked Blue Jackets39c228.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Blue Jackets10c228.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.851816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Blue Jackets17c225.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa56d…3b02backed Lightning50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91b…eaabbacked Blue Jackets34c212$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Lightning72c207.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1511365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc001…d003backed Blue Jackets39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4634…9222backed Lightning61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9b…a0a0backed Blue Jackets39c168.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…ee2abacked Lightning61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blue Jackets39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning58c153.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0626…e9f4backed Lightning73c151$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…e4ffbacked Lightning66c138$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef7…1fd4backed Lightning73c133$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe61b…1865backed Blue Jackets25c129$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…d0b7backed Lightning58c125.32$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…8a39backed Lightning66c121$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Lightning63c114.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef93…79f2backed Lightning58c114.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.071957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde4…4cc7backed Lightning73c113$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.514100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f9…95d1backed Lightning73c110$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f1…f594backed Lightning58c104.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Blue Jackets42c102.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Lightning59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6914844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Lightning62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…3f31backed Lightning61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4060549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…cf2abacked Blue Jackets39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…7140backed Blue Jackets40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Blue Jackets39c99.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.978145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cd…febebacked Lightning58c99.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.762347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blue Jackets41c94.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Lightning60c85.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0822842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…0caebacked Blue Jackets50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Lightning59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7518452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b14…2a35backed Lightning62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Lightning60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf833…37f0backed Blue Jackets39c79.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Lightning63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3711051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked Lightning61c79.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.832060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Blue Jackets40c78.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fd…b91fbacked Lightning73c78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47d…c6acbacked Blue Jackets43c77.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.622050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd965…7fd4backed Lightning58c74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0d…f737backed Lightning66c74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…b00abacked Blue Jackets43c68.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.512751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9a…d9ddbacked Blue Jackets42c67.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.151050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf169…689bbacked Lightning50c67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d67…b441backed Blue Jackets34c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd486…09fbbacked Lightning71c66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe933…f4acbacked Lightning70c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Blue Jackets43c63.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…17e0backed Blue Jackets43c62.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef2…66fcbacked Blue Jackets30c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a7…143bbacked Blue Jackets44c61.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.982050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfd…158abacked Lightning66c61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0d…c347backed Blue Jackets41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…d0f2backed Blue Jackets42c61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17df…9a42backed Blue Jackets30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec9…c345backed Blue Jackets30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…7c4cbacked Lightning62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…a1ddbacked Blue Jackets34c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…eb90backed Blue Jackets30c58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb9…e45bbacked Blue Jackets42c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba3…ac2abacked Blue Jackets30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…36babacked Blue Jackets40c56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Lightning61c55.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.761560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Blue Jackets29c55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.772646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7808…b0cabacked Lightning59c54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb288…9526backed Blue Jackets30c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd2…fbafbacked Lightning61c53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Lightning60c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde22…c564backed Blue Jackets32c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.