Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Kilian Feldbausch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcacda309167b7bbe39d7ea73ff42311ba77516c99f571bdf97162b03cce87929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kilian Feldbauschof Lorenzo Giustino, Kilian Feldbausch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 3,475$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 2,964$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lorenzo Giustino | 3c | 1,600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 1,516$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.89 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Giustino | 4c | 1,004$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 711.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 21c | 472.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…e0c3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 458$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Kilian Feldbausch | 79c | 296.2$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 12c | 171.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Lorenzo Giustino | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 78c | 129.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 12c | 106.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 57.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 52.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 39.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 34.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Kilian Feldbausch | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Kilian Feldbausch | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Kilian Feldbauschthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Giustino vs FeldbauschFeldbausch won
- Set Handicap: Feldbausch (-1.5) vs Giustino (+1.5)Feldbausch won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.