TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x074b…268bbacked Islanders48c6,488$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…4912backed Rangers52c6,488$3,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Islanders49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.952744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Rangers51c3,783$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.6736242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Islanders1c2,995$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.163,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Islanders12c2,577$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers51c2,269$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.171,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…32aebacked Islanders48c1,967$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…604ebacked Rangers52c1,876$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…34d2backed Rangers52c1,554$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…ecbebacked Islanders48c1,521$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…66c3backed Rangers52c1,329$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf080…cc17backed Islanders48c1,270$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Islanders47c1,149$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Islanders49c1,078$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.1172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers52c909.62$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6221620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Islanders48c840.38$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.3822842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders49c710$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Rangers51c686.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.272853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers55c660.25$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Islanders49c568.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Islanders49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2458537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Rangers53c378.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.313457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Islanders48c324.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3cb…bcb2backed Rangers52c304.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Islanders36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28d9…4ad1backed Rangers73c278$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Islanders8c228$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.021895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…78e4backed Rangers52c210.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ce…0c26backed Islanders50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Islanders49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Rangers53c190.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0615456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Rangers53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6812859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Rangers53c175.09$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2911354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7a…b24cbacked Islanders49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fba…03ffbacked Rangers51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2256backed Islanders50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb062…2811backed Rangers50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd349…d521backed Islanders49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Rangers79c130.55$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.426940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8116…3e1ebacked Islanders49c125.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0271…63abbacked Islanders49c112.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fc…b401backed Rangers53c106.34$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.981154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Islanders48c104.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.382931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Islanders49c104.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.48440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c35…b583backed Rangers53c102.55$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Islanders49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Islanders49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498d…16fbbacked Rangers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…4585backed Islanders50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Islanders48c94.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5115663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d37…f343backed Islanders49c87.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.041442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa37d…9526backed Islanders49c82.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Islanders49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.215730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Rangers51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4311365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ff…c60dbacked Islanders49c75.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rangers51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Rangers51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6343256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…b678backed Islanders50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc4…8c38backed Rangers60c63.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.129567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb25…f9d8backed Rangers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bad…fdc5backed Rangers50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c29…332abacked Islanders50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Rangers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f8…4d29backed Islanders49c48.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…11b6backed Islanders49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c7…b888backed Islanders50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd388…c819backed Rangers52c46.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb00…b0f1backed Rangers50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261c…6b74backed Rangers53c45.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.322050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1539…198fbacked Islanders50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7346…f416backed Islanders51c43.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.281747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…8f37backed Rangers51c43.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Rangers51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.148347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13de…0f8cbacked Rangers53c41.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.471650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rangers51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1816447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…d264backed Rangers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6445…c1cbbacked Islanders50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a1…27c6backed Rangers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa098…f430backed Rangers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…6c7cbacked Rangers51c35.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b5…e62cbacked Islanders50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Islanders49c34.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019a…8806backed Islanders50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Islanders51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Rangers51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.418638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48e…f649backed Rangers51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8108…f3cebacked Rangers50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377a…e167backed Islanders50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ab…4162backed Islanders50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…7463backed Rangers50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1110638.7%41 W · 65 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Rangers51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5715549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Rangers53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7515158.3%88 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Rangers80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.