Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb0a1019ba5904952e3a0cba0874dfbfb6a9613dae1b01a87eba616e8e3df217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 47c | 20,043$9,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420.1 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,266$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.01 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 1,626$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.1 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 1,600$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 623.54$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 47c | 501$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.48 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 478.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 299.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 26c | 273.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 113.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 53c | 112.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 53c | 95.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 79.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 47c | 46.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 47c | 21.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Wrexham AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.