Cricket · resolved market
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb469b03942f99526984f06225d3f5947476479e45f2e1f2d2bf7ff31be0f270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Nepal, Hong Kong, China
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4896…7431backed Hong Kong, China | 79c | 702.17$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nepal | 21c | 695.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nepal | 15c | 629.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hong Kong, China | 45c | 518.06$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nepal | 30c | 484.82$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nepal | 9c | 407.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nepal | 58c | 365.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Nepal | 14c | 342.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nepal | 50c | 334.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…2c15backed Hong Kong, China | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Hong Kong, China | 41c | 266.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nepal | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Hong Kong, China | 76c | 151$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Hong Kong, China | 19c | 135.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Hong Kong, China | 76c | 121.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Hong Kong, China | 23c | 116.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nepal | 54c | 112.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nepal | 18c | 94.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…cb5dbacked Hong Kong, China | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Hong Kong, China | 61c | 62.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Hong Kong, China | 35c | 55.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…8ad5backed Nepal | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Hong Kong, China | 45c | 44.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…9460backed Hong Kong, China | 43c | 31.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 30.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…8494backed Nepal | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Hong Kong, China | 36c | 28.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…8259backed Nepal | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Nepal | 62c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Nepal | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Nepal | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.