Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs FUSION (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb479defe98615b71c5ffbb64a6039e3878e394953b3944e5bd6b2b74958dd1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STREAMER ARENAof STREAMER ARENA, FUSION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed STREAMER ARENA | 47c | 472.24$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed FUSION | 24c | 418.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STREAMER ARENA | 68c | 363.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FUSION | 32c | 145.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked STREAMER ARENA | 72c | 141.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…e904backed FUSION | 56c | 141.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FUSION | 45c | 138.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked STREAMER ARENA | 71c | 118.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed STREAMER ARENA | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 72cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed FUSION | 56c | 84.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed FUSION | 27c | 71.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed FUSION | 57c | 70.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FUSION | 28c | 68.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked STREAMER ARENA | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked FUSION | 22c | 47.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUSION | 32c | 43.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed FUSION | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…c798backed FUSION | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed STREAMER ARENA | 80c | 29.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed STREAMER ARENA | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FUSION | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed STREAMER ARENA | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed STREAMER ARENA | 71c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed STREAMER ARENA | 72c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs FUSION (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs FUSION - Map 1 WinnerSTREAMER ARENA won
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs FUSION - Map 2 WinnerSTREAMER ARENA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.