Lol · resolved market
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb98ff29791fa94c983dca4b44470e33f430f920200c62e07d84a9443dc17ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshi Esports Clubof Senshi Esports Club, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc36b…a540backed The Bandits | 62c | 699.99$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.44 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Senshi Esports Club | 50c | 555.56$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.78 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Senshi Esports Club | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed The Bandits | 50c | 465.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed The Bandits | 16c | 129.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 211 | 41.2%87 W · 124 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed The Bandits | 41c | 106.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked The Bandits | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Senshi Esports Club | 51c | 83.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed The Bandits | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…ddf5backed The Bandits | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senshi Esports Club | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed The Bandits | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed The Bandits | 68c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed The Bandits | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 GroupSenshi Esports Club won
- LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits - Game 2 WinnerThe Bandits won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.