Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Yulia Starodubtseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbab510565953d9808eb71dd8c3c6a2dd6ca464a145240e1337d2cd6f380c983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amanda Anisimovaof Amanda Anisimova, Yulia Starodubtseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,055 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 15c | 15,750$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 1c | 7,528$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 1c | 4,945$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 14c | 3,664$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 14c | 3,351$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 1c | 3,215$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 2,225$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 7c | 1,631$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 12c | 1,029$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 901.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 888$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 15c | 781.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 499.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 14c | 455.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 10c | 367.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 14c | 266.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 251.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…b96bbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 15c | 148.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 122.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 18c | 115.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 16c | 67.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.