CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs MARKnLARRY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbb6d1fbc4535cdcf9d898391905548e766f52a543f9819912f4cde94b8be045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof Mindfreak, MARKnLARRY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,791 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593e…62ecbacked MARKnLARRY | 28c | 638$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…3b97backed MARKnLARRY | 28c | 588$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…525fbacked MARKnLARRY | 28c | 586$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…331abacked MARKnLARRY | 27c | 581$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…ce36backed MARKnLARRY | 27c | 574$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Mindfreak | 72c | 516.2$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mindfreak | 74c | 492.84$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MARKnLARRY | 28c | 352.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed MARKnLARRY | 29c | 298.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…5a13backed Mindfreak | 73c | 297$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…ac6abacked Mindfreak | 72c | 296$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…42f1backed Mindfreak | 72c | 295.47$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed MARKnLARRY | 25c | 291.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…14a4backed Mindfreak | 72c | 291$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…b5f3backed Mindfreak | 72c | 291$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…2bd8backed Mindfreak | 72c | 290$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…d5c6backed Mindfreak | 72c | 288$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…e35bbacked Mindfreak | 73c | 288$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…3b83backed Mindfreak | 73c | 286$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…4be3backed Mindfreak | 73c | 284$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242a…7402backed Mindfreak | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked MARKnLARRY | 7c | 186.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…11d5backed MARKnLARRY | 9c | 163.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.25per pick | 23cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MARKnLARRY | 29c | 149.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mindfreak | 70c | 138.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Mindfreak | 72c | 122.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MARKnLARRY | 30c | 102.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Mindfreak | 73c | 102.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Mindfreak | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed MARKnLARRY | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MARKnLARRY | 22c | 77.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MARKnLARRY | 41c | 75.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MARKnLARRY | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MARKnLARRY | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Mindfreak | 70c | 40.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Mindfreak | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Mindfreak | 71c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Mindfreak | 74c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs MARKnLARRY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs MARKnLARRY - Map 1 WinnerMindfreak won
- Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs MARKnLARRY - Map 2 WinnerMindfreak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.