Tennis · resolved market
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Eri Hozumi vs Maria Kozyreva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0863806d4ed41007f81ddf6dae8770067728858d861fbc9c8703ff31b41664
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Kozyrevaof Eri Hozumi, Maria Kozyreva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eri Hozumi | 15c | 18,838$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Eri Hozumi | 14c | 1,605$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Eri Hozumi | 10c | 1,483$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eri Hozumi | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Eri Hozumi | 35c | 321.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Maria Kozyreva | 76c | 263.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Eri Hozumi | 14c | 257.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maria Kozyreva | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Maria Kozyreva | 75c | 199.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Eri Hozumi | 12c | 191.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eri Hozumi | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eri Hozumi | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Eri Hozumi | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Eri Hozumi | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Eri Hozumi | 36c | 119.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eri Hozumi | 39c | 69.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Kozyreva | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Maria Kozyreva | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Eri Hozumi | 39c | 60.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Maria Kozyreva | 51c | 51.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Eri Hozumi | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Eri Hozumi | 49c | 37.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Maria Kozyreva | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Eri Hozumi vs Maria Kozyrevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hozumi vs KozyrevaKozyreva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.