Lol · resolved market
LoL: Francesinhas vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc383984e25f1cf9cbdbe52b442cf80616bbdaf1875e0a0a94dc257a5c765f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Otter Sideof Francesinhas, The Otter Side
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed The Otter Side | 73c | 1,100$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesinhas | 27c | 1,038$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Francesinhas | 8c | 623.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd0…b937backed The Otter Side | 71c | 533.05$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…7ff5backed The Otter Side | 72c | 435.92$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Francesinhas | 27c | 413.03$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Francesinhas | 26c | 319.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…50fbbacked The Otter Side | 72c | 274.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Francesinhas | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Francesinhas | 12c | 213.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed The Otter Side | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesinhas | 6c | 169$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Francesinhas | 11c | 124.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Francesinhas | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 306 | 43.1%132 W · 174 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Francesinhas | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Francesinhas | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Francesinhas | 32c | 94.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Francesinhas | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…e05cbacked Francesinhas | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked The Otter Side | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…62d0backed Francesinhas | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Francesinhas | 33c | 46.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…37e2backed The Otter Side | 71c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed The Otter Side | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed The Otter Side | 72c | 27.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed The Otter Side | 78c | 26.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked The Otter Side | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.