TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UMBC vs. UMass Lowell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UMass Lowellof UMBC, UMass Lowell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x480d…f219backed UMBC33c801$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4439144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed UMass Lowell67c695.45$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.528445.1%128 W · 156 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9dd…412ebacked UMass Lowell50c276$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ef…ef59backed UMass Lowell50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1328…e46ebacked UMBC50c195$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…b2fbbacked UMBC50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked UMBC28c118.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0628335%99 W · 184 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab9…3f5fbacked UMass Lowell72c118.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked UMass Lowell66c111$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7434842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x003e…3a12backed UMass Lowell50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e7…d660backed UMass Lowell50c96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f03…6968backed UMBC50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+111.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f69…e82bbacked UMBC50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…2b87backed UMBC50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a2…06cbbacked UMass Lowell50c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x107f…6055backed UMBC50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f70…459cbacked UMBC50c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d1…92bebacked UMBC50c69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0a…5c53backed UMass Lowell50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c36…eaaebacked UMass Lowell50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f16…fe51backed UMass Lowell50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac3…9fc2backed UMBC50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…451ebacked UMBC50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b58…dc38backed UMass Lowell50c61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bb…a933backed UMBC50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc739…e4f9backed UMass Lowell50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985a…edebbacked UMBC50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…4be7backed UMass Lowell50c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c8…49acbacked UMBC50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325e…9b11backed UMass Lowell50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8017…a028backed UMass Lowell50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc590…ad79backed UMass Lowell50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…c5e3backed UMBC50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x618a…7ff3backed UMass Lowell50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629f…a647backed UMBC50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f6…1a6dbacked UMBC50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ee…b8d8backed UMBC50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x279c…a80cbacked UMass Lowell50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x369c…9252backed UMBC50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f83…067dbacked UMass Lowell39c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df9…e796backed UMass Lowell39c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+90.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…b8f6backed UMass Lowell39c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ff…0c9fbacked UMass Lowell39c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5816…f0cabacked UMBC42c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1c…2b0ebacked UMBC42c29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f6…0147backed UMBC42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d1…2e1abacked UMBC42c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0871…eaf8backed UMass Lowell50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e4…dc68backed UMBC50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b70…6856backed UMBC50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b5…48f5backed UMBC45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f59…ae4dbacked UMBC45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…facdbacked UMBC50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2157…a015backed UMBC45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd838…67f9backed UMass Lowell50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678a…07acbacked UMBC50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc79…1dc6backed UMBC50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x570d…7e0bbacked UMass Lowell50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846e…cc0fbacked UMass Lowell50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa100…d54dbacked UMBC50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f54…7c60backed UMBC50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaab…9195backed UMass Lowell50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…ea85backed UMBC42c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aea…b0efbacked UMBC50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a70…8793backed UMass Lowell50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f72…d273backed UMBC50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa22…8767backed UMBC50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafef…27afbacked UMass Lowell55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be9…80bcbacked UMass Lowell50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb5…6b39backed UMass Lowell55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.353100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e1…2e08backed UMass Lowell50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c7…43debacked UMass Lowell55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x932a…8d36backed UMass Lowell50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick43cpaid+142.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc4…4fe6backed UMass Lowell55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb281…f27abacked UMass Lowell55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c5…5403backed UMBC48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbf…825ebacked UMass Lowell51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3f…3dcebacked UMBC49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e7c…cfedbacked UMBC48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba6…73a9backed UMBC48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cd…56dfbacked UMass Lowell51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d4…cf3cbacked UMass Lowell58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2922…1b66backed UMass Lowell58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b52…1b51backed UMBC49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb488…0995backed UMass Lowell52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670b…8ce2backed UMBC48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a72…3427backed UMass Lowell58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4473…acf4backed UMass Lowell58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1181…3d5dbacked UMass Lowell52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4075…cf51backed UMass Lowell52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe087…d5ddbacked UMass Lowell58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f7…34a3backed UMass Lowell52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd02…d10cbacked UMass Lowell52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…dedcbacked UMass Lowell52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc60…9703backed UMBC48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57df…25fdbacked UMass Lowell59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…09d4backed UMass Lowell58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7618…b8cabacked UMBC61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…4bb1backed UMass Lowell59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2597…7bdebacked UMass Lowell52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.