Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nottingham: Alice Gillan vs Karla Popovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc605b1f13a334dbcbbebec2acfcdf750c5f35210dd2c7453093e60cabdd1982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alice Gillanof Alice Gillan, Karla Popovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Karla Popovic | 3c | 13,721$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karla Popovic | 38c | 470.92$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Gillan | 62c | 448.87$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alice Gillan | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Alice Gillan | 63c | 103.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karla Popovic | 37c | 98.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Karla Popovic | 22c | 79.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Alice Gillan | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alice Gillan | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Alice Gillan | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Alice Gillan | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Alice Gillan | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alice Gillan | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…68a8backed Alice Gillan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…e861backed Alice Gillan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.