Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Tjen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8a7789bedc27abff9e82903768469c6a9ac0e0dc3d22017b6624b81abfa52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Tjen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Jovic | 56c | 157$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Jovic | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Jovic | 56c | 103$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Jovic | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Jovic | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tjen | 22c | 62.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jovic | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Tjen | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Tjen | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Tjen | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Tjen | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Tjen | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Tjen | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Tjen | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Tjenthis page
- Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Janice TjenJovic won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)Jovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.