Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Janice Tjen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfc64681f83eeafb2f7df801ac4b98c64b36db4bf70c177a0beeb3338e0bf093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Tjen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Jovic | 58c | 4,500$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.99 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Tjen | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tjen | 43c | 1,658$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tjen | 40c | 1,010$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.89 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…0890backed Tjen | 21c | 900.23$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.11 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tjen | 38c | 841.89$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.34 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Jovic | 62c | 753$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Jovic | 62c | 650$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jovic | 65c | 537.05$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Jovic | 59c | 502$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tjen | 38c | 461$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Tjen | 42c | 431.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tjen | 38c | 421.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Jovic | 67c | 302.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Jovic | 61c | 286.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Jovic | 64c | 177$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tjen | 14c | 159.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Jovic | 60c | 114.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Tjen | 34c | 95.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Jovic | 59c | 94.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Tjen | 30c | 91.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Jovic | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tjen | 37c | 90.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Jovic | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tjen | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Jovic | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tjen | 23c | 56.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tjen | 42c | 51.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Tjen | 41c | 43.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Tjen | 30c | 43.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Jovic | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Tjen | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Jovic | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Tjen | 40c | 32.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Tjen | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Jovic | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Jovic | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Jovic | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Janice Tjenthis page
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Tjen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs TjenJovic won
- Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)Jovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.