Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4b43de1074dac77db457c728858bf1bdfb15a7c62be22336a4f932fe0ba98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 51c | 4,198$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.86 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 48c | 2,275$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.84 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 49c | 1,644$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.44 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 750.76$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.87 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 50c | 550.85$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 50c | 248$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 48c | 193.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 192$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 48c | 183.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 52c | 120.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 51c | 116.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 52c | 96.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 78.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 52c | 60.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f01dbacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Under | 50c | 47.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 43.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 51c | 39.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Over | 53c | 29.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e59…bd35backed Over | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2KT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.