Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6218d89651edb2ff85a23f9a1f02519f8fbd0d74577e10d3d5e23d377ce113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 593.02$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…5862backed Over | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 42c | 213.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 57c | 127$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 116.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 58c | 112$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…f6c7backed Under | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 149.5this page
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Tarleton State TexansTarleton State Texans won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-13.5)Tarleton State Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.