South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd6e1864a4bc3ace2a6e469d27198d4d98310b0d12aec8d105d8ddecbdc0f201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 7,008$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 6,406$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.68 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 3,472$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.95 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 54c | 2,981$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.51 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 2,207$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 1,146$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 679.17$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 631.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 422.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 46c | 379.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 47c | 184.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 62c | 182.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 181.67$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 47c | 126.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…975ebacked Under | 79c | 90.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 83.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 31c | 75.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Under | 36c | 71.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 69c | 60.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 69c | 60.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 66c | 51.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 66c | 51.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 66c | 51.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 64c | 48.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 64c | 48.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Under | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Under | 53c | 46.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 62c | 43.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Over | 53c | 41.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 53c | 39.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 76c | 39.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 68c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 53c | 35.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 53c | 35.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 55c | 34.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 33.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 53c | 30.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…8b22backed Under | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 54c | 24.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 57c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 67c | 19.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfa…9a0fbacked Under | 68c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Tolima vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)Club Universitario de Deportes won
- Spread: CD Tolima (-2.5)Club Universitario de Deportes won
- Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)CD Tolima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.