CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8983326cbc68be52fb3975fe3dade2740ff1fd4b12f754d0cda05b8c5b61ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Wildcard, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Wildcard | 39c | 4,788$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.43 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Voca | 61c | 1,566$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Voca | 60c | 848.41$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.63 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Voca | 59c | 818.33$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Voca | 60c | 791$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.71 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Voca | 61c | 358.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Voca | 62c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Voca | 61c | 114.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Voca | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Voca | 61c | 57.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Wildcard | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Voca | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wildcard | 35c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wildcard | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 PlayoffsWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.