CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee3aa0f0e82e2484555594bac0b8d7bb43a1264dfc30212267b2776dba65606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Voca, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Voca | 12c | 6,175$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.89 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Voca | 9c | 2,858$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.18 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Voca | 26c | 1,557$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.31 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Voca | 17c | 1,290$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Voca | 26c | 744.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 75c | 697.5$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard | 59c | 588.73$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Voca | 44c | 550.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 7c | 550$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Voca | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 78c | 484.23$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Voca | 17c | 363.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Voca | 29c | 327.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Voca | 16c | 262.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Voca | 7c | 174.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Voca | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Voca | 16c | 161.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Voca | 20c | 140.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wildcard | 71c | 137$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Voca | 14c | 136.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Voca | 15c | 128.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Voca | 12c | 112.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Voca | 41c | 97.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Wildcard | 78c | 95.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Voca | 19c | 86.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Wildcard | 74c | 68.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Voca | 19c | 68.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Wildcard | 57c | 60.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wildcard | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wildcard | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Wildcard | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Wildcard | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 PlayoffsWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)Wildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.