Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Tararudee (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcde0ec9fe9a0ea2cf18496fe558e1e61972754312c92d4aa4b5e07f9b6ee14f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tararudeeof Bartunkova, Tararudee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Bartunkova | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Bartunkova | 42c | 474.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Bartunkova | 6c | 470$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118a…457ebacked Tararudee | 74c | 428.47$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Tararudee | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bartunkova | 40c | 333.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bartunkova | 26c | 145.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tararudee | 58c | 111.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Bartunkova | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Tararudee | 55c | 82.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Tararudee | 57c | 69.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Bartunkova | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Bartunkova | 43c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Tararudee (+1.5)this page
- Bartunkova vs. Tararudee: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana TararudeeLanlana Tararudee won
- Nikola Bartunkova vs. Lanlana Tararudee: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs TararudeeTararudee won
- Set 2 Winner: Bartunkova vs TararudeeBartunkova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.