Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs Tararudee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97fe9c29c58d84dc87efef56d7bae374101eb07d2012c17940bcee39608cff61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tararudeeof Bartunkova, Tararudee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Bartunkova | 63c | 546$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tararudee | 37c | 449.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bartunkova | 61c | 330.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Tararudee | 38c | 275.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bartunkova | 57c | 262.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Tararudee | 51c | 202$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tararudee | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Bartunkova | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bartunkova | 47c | 153.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Bartunkova | 25c | 111.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Bartunkova | 59c | 73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Tararudee | 69c | 69.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tararudee | 38c | 63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tararudee | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tararudee | 54c | 36.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Bartunkova | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tararudee | 39c | 34.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bartunkova | 42c | 30.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Bartunkova | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bartunkova vs Tararudeethis page
- Bartunkova vs. Tararudee: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana TararudeeLanlana Tararudee won
- Nikola Bartunkova vs. Lanlana Tararudee: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Bartunkova vs TararudeeBartunkova won
- Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Tararudee (+1.5)Tararudee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.