Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce05614d03ca739ac993c8183c252089449df98b1a94e557415259d5e12facdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 571.08$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 298.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 123.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 122.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 25c | 120.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 17c | 117.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 114.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 105.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 71c | 87.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…4939backed No | 69c | 86.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 74.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 71.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed No | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 50.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 28c | 49.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 39.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 37.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 73c | 30.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 21.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.