Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Odense BK win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce73d2db9c7b8b8a519a2548b8ba457650b82e1e3dfd11130462497fb583bacf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,383 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 2,391$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 1,779$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.82 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,448$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,249$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.52 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,028$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.88 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 28c | 940.34$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 29c | 929.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.27 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 570$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.63 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 508.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.33 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 18c | 383.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 30c | 363.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 225.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 213.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 194.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 17c | 158.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 146.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 97.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 30c | 50.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Yes | 30c | 42.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 59c | 42.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 39.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 31.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 73c | 27.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 62c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…daa3backed No | 75c | 22.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…3df5backed No | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 70c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 74c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will FC København win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Odense BK vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.