CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2c28254e37a9d183b416d8316d166e0ac6d7cf0c43b6708faec46e72dcea7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2007of Lazer Cats, 2007
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lazer Cats | 1c | 4,347$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lazer Cats | 16c | 768.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed 2007 | 80c | 225.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lazer Cats | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Lazer Cats | 37c | 165$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -74%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 21c | 153.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Lazer Cats | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Lazer Cats | 15c | 139.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed 2007 | 66c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 2007 | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Lazer Cats | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked 2007 | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed 2007 | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked 2007 | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C2007 won
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 1 WinnerLazer Cats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.