CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa42f764ef5bbdc5208431c4717d7d61f4bfe1c2599cd3c56e18964d625c2b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof Lazer Cats, 2007
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 2007 | 64c | 200.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lazer Cats | 39c | 173.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 2007 | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Lazer Cats | 56c | 105.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 2007 | 37c | 87.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Lazer Cats | 43c | 55.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Lazer Cats | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…ba3cbacked 2007 | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked 2007 | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lazer Cats | 50c | 32.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Lazer Cats | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked 2007 | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Lazer Cats | 65c | 27.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Lazer Cats | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C2007 won
- Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 - Map 2 Winner2007 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.