Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf451f9f7778bab41dc748bde15c8cc12b7c2737519521ef81d6d568e27a10ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Dakota State Jackrabbitsof Milwaukee Panthers, South Dakota State Jackrabbits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 57c | 800$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 43c | 646$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Milwaukee Panthers | 43c | 317$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Panthers | 12c | 204$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 54c | 138$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Milwaukee Panthers | 13c | 128.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 54c | 121$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 72c | 93.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Milwaukee Panthers | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Panthers (-1.5)this page
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee PanthersMilwaukee Panthers won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 149.5Over won
- South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee Panthers: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: South Dakota State Jackrabbits (-0.5)Milwaukee Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.