Tennis · resolved market
New Delhi: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Rei Sakamoto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6a719c14f99938632f524ab1461b5c02f1f1c3b92e192aa0ec09b3631a65bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakamotoof Silva, Sakamoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Sakamoto | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sakamoto | 68c | 602.03$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c4…fe40backed Silva | 19c | 559.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Silva | 36c | 476.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Silva | 34c | 380.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…a021backed Silva | 19c | 372.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Silva | 32c | 367$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Sakamoto | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Silva | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Silva | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sakamoto | 65c | 195.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Sakamoto | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Silva | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Sakamoto | 65c | 120.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Silva | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Silva | 34c | 88.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Sakamoto | 65c | 87.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Silva | 35c | 86.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Silva | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Sakamoto | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Silva | 35c | 80.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Sakamoto | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Silva | 20c | 66.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sakamoto | 64c | 56.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sakamoto | 69c | 52.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Sakamoto | 63c | 44.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Silva | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Silva | 35c | 42.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Sakamoto | 66c | 42.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Sakamoto | 76c | 39.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sakamoto | 68c | 38.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Sakamoto | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Silva | 35c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Sakamoto | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sakamoto | 65c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Sakamoto | 66c | 19.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…41fbbacked Sakamoto | 66c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.