CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf78a3c7bb4aeeca00d69aadea5e8dadcbbcb8bfd594540eebfff1873144eeae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,530 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Atreides | 1c | 3,488$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hashiras | 67c | 790.21$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Atreides | 57c | 572.2$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.03 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Hashiras | 45c | 504.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.48 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…0cf5backed Hashiras | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Atreides | 55c | 489.64$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…fc46backed Hashiras | 44c | 488$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Atreides | 30c | 485.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hashiras | 43c | 386$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.32 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 56c | 327.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af6…00a4backed Atreides | 56c | 313$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Atreides | 29c | 263.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…68acbacked Atreides | 56c | 252$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Hashiras | 44c | 245.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…e981backed Atreides | 56c | 235.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Hashiras | 77c | 233.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Atreides | 37c | 230$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…8a04backed Atreides | 45c | 221.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Atreides | 59c | 216.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…9d12backed Atreides | 56c | 187$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Hashiras | 64c | 176.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 30c | 167.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hashiras | 41c | 163.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Hashiras | 43c | 160.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atreides | 61c | 99.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Atreides | 17c | 81.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Hashiras | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Hashiras | 57c | 78.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…b98bbacked Atreides | 53c | 71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…b150backed Hashiras | 74c | 65.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Atreides | 24c | 62.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Atreides | 35c | 57.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b591backed Hashiras | 59c | 55.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Hashiras | 54c | 46.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…62b8backed Hashiras | 45c | 38.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Hashiras | 61c | 35.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…9f56backed Hashiras | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…39b6backed Atreides | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Hashiras | 73c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hashiras | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.