Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Kacper Knitter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7a7eeb54c914417659334d670f6d72fab9a63d8fee63ffaae1ea070b051e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruslan Tiukaevof Ruslan Tiukaev, Kacper Knitter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Kacper Knitter | 18c | 825$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Ruslan Tiukaev | 57c | 630.48$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kacper Knitter | 43c | 606.81$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.86 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Kacper Knitter | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Ruslan Tiukaev | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kacper Knitter | 4c | 423$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kacper Knitter | 7c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Ruslan Tiukaev | 61c | 89.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kacper Knitter | 41c | 87.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ruslan Tiukaev | 57c | 61.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kacper Knitter | 39c | 51.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kacper Knitter | 43c | 35.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Ruslan Tiukaev | 57c | 21.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.