Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Goncalo Marques vs Fabrizio Andaloro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf7e624695067870296f2701f611cf292530a37bc5d510e77bcdad84dd69abc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goncalo Marquesof Goncalo Marques, Fabrizio Andaloro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Goncalo Marques | 67c | 2,252$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.37 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Goncalo Marques | 68c | 1,218$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.9 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 25c | 830.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Goncalo Marques | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8db8backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 14c | 671.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Goncalo Marques | 63c | 518.9$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 270.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 33c | 243.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 31c | 242.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 30c | 220.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Goncalo Marques | 66c | 210.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Goncalo Marques | 69c | 201.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 25c | 181.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 25c | 146.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 34c | 146.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Goncalo Marques | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Goncalo Marques | 66c | 90.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 66.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 66.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 31c | 65.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 32c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 32c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 23c | 59.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Goncalo Marques | 66c | 53.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 39c | 40.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 39.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Fabrizio Andaloro | 36c | 39.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Goncalo Marques | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.