CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf832095de293b1363aafa966b29dcdf531d3430e110aee4fb813548bd2900d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Wildcard, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Wildcard | 46c | 3,399$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.72 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Voca | 54c | 801.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.64 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Voca | 48c | 671.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.03 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Wildcard | 52c | 481.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Voca | 53c | 430$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Wildcard | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Voca | 53c | 371.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Voca | 54c | 311$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Voca | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…5a2cbacked Voca | 55c | 212$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efcebacked Voca | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Voca | 52c | 209.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Voca | 52c | 207.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Voca | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed Wildcard | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Voca | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed Voca | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Wildcard | 53c | 183.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Voca | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Wildcard | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Voca | 52c | 113.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Voca | 52c | 100.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Wildcard | 47c | 94.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Voca | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Wildcard | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Voca | 53c | 61.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Wildcard | 49c | 59.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Voca | 54c | 59.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Voca | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Wildcard | 47c | 33.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Voca | 50c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Wildcard | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Wildcard | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Voca | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 PlayoffsVoca won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerVoca won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.