NHL · resolved market
DEL: Dresdner Eisloewen vs. Augsburger Panther
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9012451b19793156dff899513ed709cd9e1121fa9a00def088abfee129aa4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dresdner Eisloewenof Dresdner Eisloewen, Augsburger Panther
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Augsburger Panther | 53c | 327.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 47c | 123.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Augsburger Panther | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Augsburger Panther | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 44c | 82.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Dresdner Eisloewen | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Augsburger Panther | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Augsburger Panther | 50c | 35.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Dresdner Eisloewen | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Augsburger Panther | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Augsburger Panther | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.