Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfaefb12944985c04330e2329845f6a0fb051dcf81a8b9c42e37eeed1e45604a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlton Athletic FCof Birmingham City FC, Charlton Athletic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,371 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charlton Athletic FC | 77c | 1,922$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Birmingham City FC | 23c | 1,250$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Birmingham City FC | 23c | 772.09$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 77c | 76.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Birmingham City FC | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Birmingham City FC | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Charlton Athletic FC | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Charlton Athletic FC | 78c | 42.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Charlton Athletic FC | 77c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Charlton Athletic FC | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)this page
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.