Lol · resolved market
LoL: P11 Esports vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd9ada8573ab0e09b2fc3988fbeacb957d6f4b6c5d515a20336f68e46167f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zena Esportsof P11 Esports, Zena Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Zena Esports | 73c | 6,458$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.68 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Zena Esports | 73c | 4,148$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed P11 Esports | 27c | 4,008$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed P11 Esports | 27c | 3,600$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed P11 Esports | 27c | 2,037$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.86 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked P11 Esports | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked P11 Esports | 26c | 1,125$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zena Esports | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Zena Esports | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zena Esports | 75c | 432.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed P11 Esports | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Zena Esports | 75c | 346.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed P11 Esports | 12c | 326.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zena Esports | 69c | 272.6$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc4…eb7ebacked P11 Esports | 27c | 213.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Zena Esports | 77c | 207.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed P11 Esports | 12c | 200.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked P11 Esports | 25c | 199.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked P11 Esports | 26c | 169.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Zena Esports | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked P11 Esports | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Zena Esports | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Zena Esports | 74c | 79.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Zena Esports | 70c | 76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Zena Esports | 74c | 61.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Zena Esports | 74c | 56.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Zena Esports | 70c | 51.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…ae76backed P11 Esports | 25c | 50.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Zena Esports | 70c | 47.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Zena Esports | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed Zena Esports | 74c | 40.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Zena Esports | 75c | 38.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a0…978fbacked Zena Esports | 70c | 38.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Zena Esports | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Zena Esports | 77c | 27.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Zena Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Zena Esports | 74c | 25.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Zena Esports | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.