Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PEC Zwolle vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd018dc395c839cf4d4c0d70d1c4ea3f7fe07ef1f28a77d0f75ab0812e4ea8105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,697 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 7,446$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 7,144$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.93 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 5,727$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…8b73backed No | 74c | 2,290$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 2,042$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.47 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 980$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 27c | 890.53$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 258.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 247.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 28c | 230$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 217.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Yes | 11c | 115.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 93.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 84.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed Yes | 19c | 84.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 72.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 56.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 56.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 77c | 53.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 73c | 30.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 73c | 20.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed No | 73c | 19.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed No | 80c | 19.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 73c | 14.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?this page
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.