Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03d6531e48a766be0850429cbeaad7894202d7e213848c25c47ed9a3c0e1e91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,638 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 69c | 3,750$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.39 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 31c | 3,654$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 3,252$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,466$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,301$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 31c | 1,246$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.5 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 1,212$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.09 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 1,072$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.84 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 69c | 1,013$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 68c | 706$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 535.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 425.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 236.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 226.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 69c | 130$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed No | 69c | 117.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 51c | 109.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…7b18backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked No | 69c | 57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 47c | 53.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 51.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked No | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 68c | 47.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 44c | 46.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed No | 70c | 43.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 40.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 31c | 38.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked No | 68c | 36.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 31c | 33.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…0914backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…03b8backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 68c | 30.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 46c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 73c | 17.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed No | 74c | 16.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.