Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe907cd51e2d116bbee9f07dfffa232347ac0a96e41a10b2096fc1d306cc4c07e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,528$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 43c | 1,984$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 44c | 1,496$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…f557backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 41c | 916.39$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.66 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 522.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.52 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 57c | 464.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 254.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 56c | 254.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 56c | 238.22$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 236.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 234.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 56c | 180.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 61c | 95.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 94.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 72c | 54.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 46.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Yes | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 34.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 38c | 32.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 69c | 31.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 58c | 28.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 56c | 27.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked No | 57c | 24.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 58c | 23.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…34efbacked No | 56c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 66c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.