CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07c92b30cd458854977d1b379b4c4e984893f4e0333518f2ac988c5b13f33e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Betclic Apogee Esports, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 72c | 2,387$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 27c | 1,137$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.69 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 662.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.9 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 31c | 559.58$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.21 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 473.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.32 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL | 72c | 277.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 31c | 256.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 31c | 222.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.58 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 27c | 162.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 27c | 147.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…48b5backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 31c | 130.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 27c | 122.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 59c | 121.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 26c | 120.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 60c | 113$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 28c | 109.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 53c | 104.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked ASTRAL | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed ASTRAL | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked ASTRAL | 25c | 47.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed ASTRAL | 58c | 44.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked ASTRAL | 69c | 33.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked ASTRAL | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 62c | 20.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed ASTRAL | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked ASTRAL | 70c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.